← Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 1/9/2025
Water Tera MageTier 2
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 1/9/2025
decks
2
(4.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
1-3-2
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.1%
avg ELO -0.5 per match
expected value
48.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1169
· median 1169
· range 1144–1194
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1198
Q3 1408
1638
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 10.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.6% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 50.4% | +0.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.5% | -0.8 |
| Fire Exia | 8.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 8.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 4.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | -0.0 |
| Wind Allies | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 2.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.4 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos Tonoris | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.5 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Water Tera Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
